Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Belanger wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Gaustad 59.0% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 59.0%
Defensive zone
Belanger 56.4%
Neutral zone
Belanger 56.5%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Belanger
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Belanger
Gaustad
Last 7: Belanger 2-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
2
1
Belanger
Gaustad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
4
Belanger
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (1,019)
58.6% (790)
-2.1%
Power Play
62.0% (108)
66.7% (93)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (164)
61.0% (269)
-18.9%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Belanger is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Belanger shoots left. Gaustad is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Belanger
Gaustad
Home
58.2% (672)
60.6% (554)
Away
52.2% (625)
58.9% (604)
By Period
Belanger
Gaustad
P1
54.4%
61.3%
P2
54.6%
55.5%
P3
57.1%
62.3%
OT
42.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
58.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 11:12 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 04:07 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |