Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Belanger wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 83.8%
Defensive zone
Belanger 51.6%
Neutral zone
Johansen 66.3%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Belanger
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Belanger
Johansen
Last 10: Belanger 1-9 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Belanger
Johansen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Belanger
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
2
5
Belanger
Johansen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
53.1% (11,017)
+4.0%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
56.2% (2,163)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
50.5% (978)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Belanger shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Belanger
Johansen
Home
56.3% (1,350)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Belanger
Johansen
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
56.2%
52.8%
OT
53.1%
58.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2013 | OT | 02:33 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 3 | 14:21 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 5, 2013 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:40 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 25, 2012 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:16 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |