Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 56.0%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 76.7%
Neutral zone
Belanger 63.3%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Belanger
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Belanger
O'Reilly
Last 10: Belanger 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
7
Belanger
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Belanger
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
4
Belanger
O'Reilly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
56.2% (15,260)
+0.9%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
58.8% (3,445)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
51.4% (2,811)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Belanger
O'Reilly
Home
56.3% (1,350)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Belanger
O'Reilly
P1
53.5%
55.6%
P2
55.4%
57.0%
P3
56.2%
55.1%
OT
53.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2012 | 3 | 09:12 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:19 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 12:43 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2011 | 3 | 03:23 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Apr 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2011 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |