Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 13-13 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 54.8%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.7%
Neutral zone
Koivu 54.6%
Result
Saku Koivu favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Belanger
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
13
(26 meetings)
13
13
Belanger
Koivu
Last 10: Belanger 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
6
Belanger
Koivu
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
2
4
Belanger
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
7
3
Belanger
Koivu
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
51.9% (3,221)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
59.3% (437)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
48.0% (764)
-3.1%
On even strength, Belanger has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Belanger
Koivu
Home
56.3% (1,350)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Belanger
Koivu
P1
53.5%
51.1%
P2
55.4%
52.6%
P3
56.2%
51.8%
OT
53.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2012 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Apr 1, 2012 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 09:20 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 10:54 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 08:00 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 13, 2011 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 11:38 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 06:31 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 02:44 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 08:15 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |