Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Belanger wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Belanger leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 74.5%
Defensive zone
Belanger 59.2%
Neutral zone
Belanger 51.3%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Belanger
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Belanger
Bozak
Last 10: Belanger 7-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Belanger
Bozak
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
5
Belanger
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
9
5
Belanger
Bozak
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
53.7% (9,596)
+3.4%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
55.2% (1,990)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.1%
On even strength, Belanger has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Belanger is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (839).
Belanger shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Belanger
Bozak
Home
56.3% (1,350)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Belanger
Bozak
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
55.4%
52.8%
P3
56.2%
54.5%
OT
53.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:58 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 06:40 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 03:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 05:47 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 6, 2012 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |