Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.9% vs Smith 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 55.9%
Defensive zone
Belanger 74.1%
Neutral zone
Belanger 75.4%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Belanger
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Belanger
Smith
Last 7: Belanger 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (2,043)
51.6% (5,265)
+5.5%
Power Play
57.8% (166)
51.2% (342)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (459)
45.3% (985)
-0.4%
On power play, Belanger has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Belanger is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,843).
Belanger shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Belanger
Smith
Home
56.3% (1,350)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
53.8% (1,332)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Belanger
Smith
P1
53.5%
49.9%
P2
55.4%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
51.9%
OT
53.1%
51.6%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Oct 26, 2010 | 2 | 19:30 | Offensive | Zack Smith |