Scouting Report
Eric Belanger holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Belanger on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Belanger wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Belanger 54.8% vs Smith 49.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Belanger 84.7%
Defensive zone
Belanger 86.4%
Neutral zone
Belanger 89.8%
Result
Eric Belanger favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Belanger
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Belanger
Smith
Last 6: Belanger 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Belanger
1
0
Belanger
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Belanger
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Belanger
3
0
Belanger
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Belanger
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (754)
48.0% (761)
+9.4%
Power Play
49.0% (49)
70.4% (27)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
49.5% (196)
49.5% (196)
+0.0%
On power play, Smith has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Belanger is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Belanger shoots left. Smith is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Belanger
Smith
Home
55.5% (519)
49.9% (523)
Away
55.1% (488)
47.8% (467)
By Period
Belanger
Smith
P1
53.1%
47.5%
P2
58.0%
50.4%
P3
54.5%
48.4%
OT
63.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Belanger
52.0%▼
53.5%
55.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Eric Belanger |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 1 | 12:49 | Neutral | Eric Belanger |