Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.0% vs Fehr 51.2% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 67.4%
Defensive zone
Fehr 86.0%
Neutral zone
Fehr 70.4%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 69.7%
30.3%
69.7%
McDavid
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
McDavid
Fehr
Last 9: McDavid 6-3 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Fehr
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
0
McDavid
Fehr
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Fehr
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (862)
51.4% (512)
-4.5%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
100.0% (4)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
50.3% (193)
-5.9%
On power play, Fehr has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. McDavid is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (330).
McDavid shoots left. Fehr is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Home / Away
McDavid
Fehr
Home
47.9% (478)
51.0% (347)
Away
45.2% (440)
51.7% (362)
By Period
McDavid
Fehr
P1
45.9%
43.9%
P2
47.7%
55.1%
P3
46.6%
56.2%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 30, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |