Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Stepan wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Fehr shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Fehr 51.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 54.9%
Defensive zone
Fehr 86.4%
Neutral zone
Fehr 65.8%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Stepan
Fehr
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Stepan
Fehr
Last 10: Stepan 9-1 Fehr
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
0
Stepan
Fehr
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Fehr
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Fehr
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Fehr
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
51.4% (512)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
100.0% (4)
-51.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
50.3% (193)
-2.0%
On power play, Fehr has a +51.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fehr shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Stepan shoots right. Fehr is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Stepan
Fehr
Home
48.6% (666)
51.0% (347)
Away
46.1% (710)
51.7% (362)
By Period
Stepan
Fehr
P1
46.3%
43.9%
P2
50.7%
55.1%
P3
45.5%
56.2%
OT
39.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 19:29 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 27, 2018 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 16, 2018 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |