Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Fehr leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 91.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 64.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 77.0%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 78.7%
21.3%
78.7%
Fehr
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Fehr
Carter
Last 10: Fehr 7-3 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
2
4
Fehr
Carter
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
5
0
Fehr
Carter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Fehr
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
57.3% (1,554)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
46.3% (1,087)
+0.8%
On even strength, Carter has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Fehr is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (862).
Fehr shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Fehr
Carter
Home
50.4% (1,276)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Fehr
Carter
P1
45.9%
53.6%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
49.8%
53.1%
OT
55.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:02 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 03:43 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 16:42 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | OT | 02:22 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2014 | 1 | 09:33 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 20, 2014 | OT | 03:06 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |