Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Pavelski leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Fehr 62.3%
Defensive zone
Fehr 87.9%
Neutral zone
Fehr 76.6%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Fehr
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Fehr
Pavelski
Last 10: Fehr 2-8 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
2
3
Fehr
Pavelski
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Fehr
Pavelski
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Fehr
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
53.6% (8,791)
-3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
58.2% (2,122)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
50.9% (1,138)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Fehr is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (862).
Fehr shoots right. Pavelski is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,971).
Home / Away
Fehr
Pavelski
Home
50.4% (1,276)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Fehr
Pavelski
P1
45.9%
53.5%
P2
53.1%
55.2%
P3
49.8%
53.9%
OT
55.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 16:39 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 3 | 16:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:17 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 11, 2015 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:56 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |