Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Larsson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Fehr wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Larsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Larsson 45.4% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larsson 60.6%
Defensive zone
Fehr 64.1%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.8%
Result
Johan Larsson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Fehr
Larsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Fehr
Larsson
Last 6: Fehr 3-3 Larsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
1
2
Fehr
Larsson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Larsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fehr
Larsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Larsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
45.2% (290)
+7.2%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
38.6% (44)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
28.6% (7)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Fehr has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larsson shoots left. Fehr is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Fehr shoots right. Larsson is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Fehr
Larsson
Home
55.2% (444)
45.1% (153)
Away
48.7% (419)
43.1% (188)
By Period
Fehr
Larsson
P1
50.4%
45.3%
P2
55.7%
41.4%
P3
49.7%
44.0%
OT
55.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2015 | OT | 02:42 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 09:49 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 3 | 05:55 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Mar 16, 2015 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |