Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs Tavares 54.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Fehr leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 94.4%
Defensive zone
Fehr 59.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.8%
28.2%
71.8%
Fehr
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
13
(31 meetings)
18
13
Fehr
Tavares
Last 10: Fehr 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
12
Fehr
Tavares
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
10
1
Fehr
Tavares
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
6
0
Fehr
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
54.0% (16,108)
-4.1%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
56.5% (4,283)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
50.6% (620)
-3.5%
On even strength, Tavares has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Fehr is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,676).
Fehr shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Home / Away
Fehr
Tavares
Home
50.4% (1,276)
56.1% (10,503)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
52.7% (10,537)
By Period
Fehr
Tavares
P1
45.9%
55.0%
P2
53.1%
54.1%
P3
49.8%
54.1%
OT
55.0%
55.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 30, 2016 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:12 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 2, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |