Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.2% vs Tavares 54.2% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 60.9%
Defensive zone
Fehr 88.4%
Neutral zone
Fehr 64.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Fehr
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Fehr
Tavares
Last 7: Fehr 1-6 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
6
Fehr
Tavares
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (512)
53.0% (1,201)
-1.6%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
61.5% (262)
+38.5%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (193)
53.8% (65)
-3.5%
On power play, Fehr has a +38.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Fehr is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (499).
Fehr shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Home / Away
Fehr
Tavares
Home
51.0% (347)
57.5% (762)
Away
51.7% (362)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Fehr
Tavares
P1
43.9%
54.5%
P2
55.1%
53.2%
P3
56.2%
55.5%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
51.3%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 3 | 07:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |