Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fehr wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Staal 55.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Fehr leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 90.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Fehr
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Fehr
Staal
Last 10: Fehr 8-2 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
3
1
Fehr
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
3
1
Fehr
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
2
0
Fehr
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
56.6% (769)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
60.2% (98)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
27.8% (18)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Fehr has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Fehr is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Fehr shoots right. Staal is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Fehr
Staal
Home
55.2% (444)
57.8% (510)
Away
48.7% (419)
54.4% (375)
By Period
Fehr
Staal
P1
50.4%
55.1%
P2
55.7%
56.8%
P3
49.7%
57.1%
OT
55.6%
62.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 18:28 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 01:05 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:08 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |