Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fehr wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Staal 57.3% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fehr 59.8%
Defensive zone
Fehr 61.0%
Neutral zone
Fehr 60.5%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Fehr
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Fehr
Staal
Last 6: Fehr 2-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Fehr
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Fehr
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
56.6% (1,075)
-10.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
66.7% (141)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
58.1% (179)
-30.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +30.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Fehr is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Fehr shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Fehr
Staal
Home
44.7% (159)
57.7% (735)
Away
43.4% (83)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Fehr
Staal
P1
41.5%
61.8%
P2
46.2%
55.7%
P3
44.1%
56.1%
OT
100.0%
56.8%
Final 5 min
41.0%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 3 | 00:23 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |