Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Fehr wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Lehtera 50.0% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lehtera 66.1%
Defensive zone
Fehr 74.0%
Neutral zone
Fehr 55.5%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Fehr
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Fehr
Lehtera
Last 5: Fehr 2-3 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Fehr
Lehtera
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Fehr
Lehtera
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
48.9% (843)
-2.7%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
64.6% (96)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
36.7% (30)
-9.4%
On power play, Lehtera has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Fehr is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Fehr shoots right. Lehtera is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Fehr
Lehtera
Home
44.7% (159)
51.7% (520)
Away
43.4% (83)
48.1% (449)
By Period
Fehr
Lehtera
P1
41.5%
52.8%
P2
46.2%
54.0%
P3
44.1%
43.0%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:44 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 11:38 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 3 | 00:54 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:52 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 07:38 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |