Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs Hayes 47.7% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 59.3%
Defensive zone
Fehr 75.4%
Neutral zone
Fehr 60.9%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Fehr
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fehr
Hayes
Last 5: Fehr 4-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fehr
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
3
0
Fehr
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
47.5% (6,708)
+2.4%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
51.7% (702)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
45.3% (697)
+1.8%
On power play, Fehr has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Fehr is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,676).
Fehr shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Fehr
Hayes
Home
50.4% (1,276)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Fehr
Hayes
P1
45.9%
47.5%
P2
53.1%
47.6%
P3
49.8%
47.9%
OT
55.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
51.2%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2019 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |