Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Fehr wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Koivu 55.8% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fehr 66.0%
Defensive zone
Fehr 79.0%
Neutral zone
Fehr 71.4%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Fehr
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Fehr
Koivu
Last 9: Fehr 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
6
Fehr
Koivu
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fehr
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
56.6% (1,247)
-10.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
61.6% (344)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
41.3% (167)
-14.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Fehr is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Fehr shoots right. Koivu is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (616).
Home / Away
Fehr
Koivu
Home
44.7% (159)
58.1% (850)
Away
43.4% (83)
54.3% (908)
By Period
Fehr
Koivu
P1
41.5%
55.3%
P2
46.2%
57.2%
P3
44.1%
55.1%
OT
100.0%
77.3%
Final 5 min
41.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 13:11 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 3 | 02:14 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |