Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Fehr leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 96.2%
Defensive zone
Kesler 76.6%
Neutral zone
Kesler 93.2%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 92.1%
7.9%
92.1%
Fehr
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
6
(21 meetings)
15
6
Fehr
Kesler
Last 10: Fehr 7-3 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
7
2
Fehr
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
2
1
Fehr
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
6
3
Fehr
Kesler
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.5%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
60.7% (1,437)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.4%
On even strength, Kesler has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Fehr is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (862).
Fehr shoots right. Kesler is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (3,497).
Home / Away
Fehr
Kesler
Home
50.4% (1,276)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Fehr
Kesler
P1
45.9%
56.5%
P2
53.1%
55.9%
P3
49.8%
56.1%
OT
55.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2019 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 15:38 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 19:07 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2015 | OT | 04:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |