Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Fehr wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Kesler 56.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Fehr leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 83.0%
Defensive zone
Kesler 70.8%
Neutral zone
Kesler 74.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Fehr
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
5
(16 meetings)
11
5
Fehr
Kesler
Last 10: Fehr 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
5
2
Fehr
Kesler
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
1
Fehr
Kesler
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
6
2
Fehr
Kesler
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
57.4% (1,185)
-5.0%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
58.0% (243)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
49.2% (236)
-2.6%
On even strength, Kesler has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Fehr is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Fehr shoots right. Kesler is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (589).
Home / Away
Fehr
Kesler
Home
55.2% (444)
58.5% (793)
Away
48.7% (419)
54.3% (871)
By Period
Fehr
Kesler
P1
50.4%
57.0%
P2
55.7%
55.4%
P3
49.7%
56.7%
OT
55.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 19:07 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 05:25 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 03:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:44 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2015 | OT | 04:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:31 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:02 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |