Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 49.7% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 14-10 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Fehr 56.4%
Defensive zone
Fehr 78.8%
Neutral zone
Fehr 68.5%
Result
Eric Fehr favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Fehr
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
14
(24 meetings)
10
14
Fehr
O'Reilly
Last 10: Fehr 6-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
8
Fehr
O'Reilly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
5
1
Fehr
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Fehr
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (2,151)
56.2% (15,260)
-6.3%
Power Play
60.0% (45)
58.8% (3,445)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (342)
51.4% (2,811)
-4.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Fehr is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,676).
Fehr shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Fehr
O'Reilly
Home
50.4% (1,276)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
49.0% (1,262)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Fehr
O'Reilly
P1
45.9%
55.6%
P2
53.1%
57.0%
P3
49.8%
55.1%
OT
55.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
51.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 04:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 2 | 18:16 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 02:17 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 11, 2018 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |