Scouting Report
Eric Fehr holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Fehr wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 45.9% vs Gionta 43.1% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 52.5%
Defensive zone
Fehr 50.4%
Neutral zone
Gionta 53.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Fehr
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Fehr
Gionta
Last 6: Fehr 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
2
0
Fehr
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
3
Fehr
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (210)
41.8% (612)
+4.4%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
61.5% (13)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (22)
40.9% (66)
-13.6%
On power play, Gionta has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Fehr is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Fehr shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Fehr
Gionta
Home
44.7% (159)
41.3% (344)
Away
43.4% (83)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Fehr
Gionta
P1
41.5%
39.8%
P2
46.2%
46.8%
P3
44.1%
39.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.0%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
44.2%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:11 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 17:47 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Eric Fehr |
| Nov 14, 2015 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |