Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Fehr on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Fehr wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fehr 51.8% vs Seguin 53.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 70.9%
Defensive zone
Fehr 50.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Fehr
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Fehr
Seguin
Last 8: Fehr 7-1 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fehr
1
0
Fehr
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fehr
6
1
Fehr
Seguin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fehr
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (783)
53.9% (482)
-1.5%
Power Play
54.5% (22)
35.3% (17)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (58)
75.0% (12)
-28.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +28.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Fehr is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Fehr shoots right. Seguin is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Fehr
Seguin
Home
55.2% (444)
58.9% (231)
Away
48.7% (419)
49.6% (280)
By Period
Fehr
Seguin
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
55.7%
48.5%
P3
49.7%
61.7%
OT
55.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fehr
42.0%▼
50.0%
52.0%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 00:21 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 18:18 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:26 | Neutral | Eric Fehr |