Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +16.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nystrom wins 39.5% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 42.3% vs Stoll 55.0% (-16.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 70.8%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 76.0%
Neutral zone
Nystrom 70.1%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
Nystrom
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nystrom
Stoll
Last 9: Nystrom 3-6 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Nystrom
Stoll
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nystrom
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
3
Nystrom
Stoll
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (175)
56.0% (4,886)
-18.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
56.5% (496)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
50.7% (1,087)
-2.4%
On power play, Stoll has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Nystrom is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Nystrom shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Stoll
Home
41.8% (98)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
35.7% (112)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Nystrom
Stoll
P1
40.3%
54.2%
P2
38.9%
55.8%
P3
36.2%
55.3%
Final 5 min
40.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
38.6%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |