Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Nystrom wins 31.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs Stoll 57.0% (-23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 70.7%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 65.5%
Neutral zone
Nystrom 68.0%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 68.1%
68.1%
31.9%
Nystrom
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Nystrom
Stoll
Last 9: Nystrom 3-6 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
Nystrom
Stoll
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nystrom
Stoll
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
2
3
Nystrom
Stoll
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
56.6% (987)
-21.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
64.3% (126)
-39.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
58.1% (179)
-33.1%
On power play, Stoll has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Nystrom is 31.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Nystrom shoots left. Stoll is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Stoll
Home
32.7% (55)
58.6% (662)
Away
35.5% (76)
56.3% (648)
By Period
Nystrom
Stoll
P1
35.0%
58.1%
P2
36.4%
56.4%
P3
30.6%
58.4%
Final 5 min
28.1%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Feb 24, 2011 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |