Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +23.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nystrom wins 31.7% vs right-shot opponents — Smithson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs Smithson 56.8% (-23.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 88.6%
Defensive zone
Nystrom 62.6%
Neutral zone
Nystrom 69.1%
Result
Eric Nystrom favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Nystrom
Smithson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Nystrom
Smithson
Last 8: Nystrom 2-6 Smithson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nystrom
Smithson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
0
3
Nystrom
Smithson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
2
Nystrom
Smithson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Smithson
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
59.8% (778)
-24.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
54.2% (24)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
49.0% (198)
-24.0%
On power play, Smithson has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smithson shoots right. Nystrom is 31.7% vs right-shot opponents (41).
Nystrom shoots left. Smithson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Smithson
Home
32.7% (55)
59.2% (534)
Away
35.5% (76)
55.5% (472)
By Period
Nystrom
Smithson
P1
35.0%
56.1%
P2
36.4%
58.0%
P3
30.6%
58.6%
Final 5 min
28.1%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 10, 2011 | 3 | 07:23 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 07:22 | Offensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |