Scouting Report
Samuel Pahlsson holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pahlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nystrom wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pahlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nystrom 41.1% vs Pahlsson 51.9% (-17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nystrom 73.4%
Defensive zone
Pahlsson 78.1%
Neutral zone
Pahlsson 55.0%
Result
Samuel Pahlsson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Nystrom
Pahlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Nystrom
Pahlsson
Last 6: Nystrom 3-3 Pahlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
Pahlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nystrom
1
0
Nystrom
Pahlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pahlsson
1
3
Nystrom
Pahlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nystrom
Pahlsson
Edge
Even Strength
35.3% (119)
51.8% (934)
-16.5%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
57.9% (19)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (8)
52.4% (332)
-27.4%
On power play, Pahlsson has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pahlsson shoots left. Nystrom is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Nystrom shoots left. Pahlsson is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Home / Away
Nystrom
Pahlsson
Home
32.7% (55)
56.5% (628)
Away
35.5% (76)
47.8% (670)
By Period
Nystrom
Pahlsson
P1
35.0%
55.9%
P2
36.4%
49.4%
P3
30.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
28.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nystrom
44.0%▲
39.0%
34.4%
Pahlsson
54.0%▼
59.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 15:03 | Neutral | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Eric Nystrom |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Samuel Pahlsson |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 02:32 | Offensive | Eric Nystrom |