Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kempe on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Staal 51.0% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 86.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 88.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 86.1%
13.9%
86.1%
Kempe
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kempe
Staal
Last 5: Kempe 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kempe
2
1
Kempe
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
50.6% (1,026)
-8.0%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
55.0% (211)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
35.0% (20)
+9.4%
On power play, Staal has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Kempe
Staal
Home
43.6% (369)
52.4% (647)
Away
41.6% (370)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Kempe
Staal
P1
40.0%
49.4%
P2
44.3%
53.9%
P3
43.6%
49.1%
OT
37.5%
81.8%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 03:37 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:16 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:02 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |