Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs Staal 51.0% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 61.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Kerfoot
Staal
Last 7: Kerfoot 3-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
3
2
Kerfoot
Staal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Kerfoot
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
50.6% (1,026)
+5.9%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
55.0% (211)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
35.0% (20)
-35.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
60.8% (237)
52.4% (647)
Away
51.6% (252)
49.7% (610)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
56.8%
49.4%
P2
50.9%
53.9%
P3
60.0%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 13:44 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |