Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Staal 46.6% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 65.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.3%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Czarnik
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Czarnik
Staal
Last 5: Czarnik 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Czarnik
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
49.6% (565)
-6.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
35.0% (20)
-35.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
35.4% (158)
-2.1%
On power play, Staal has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Staal
Home
46.1% (76)
46.1% (380)
Away
40.5% (84)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Czarnik
Staal
P1
44.2%
45.7%
P2
41.2%
46.2%
P3
44.6%
46.5%
Final 5 min
37.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 05:24 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 8, 2022 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |