Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Staal 52.3% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 95.4%
Neutral zone
Gordon 76.5%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Gordon
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gordon
Staal
Last 5: Gordon 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
52.5% (1,228)
+4.4%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
54.1% (281)
+12.6%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
45.6% (136)
+11.0%
On power play, Gordon has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Gordon is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Gordon shoots right. Staal is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (613).
Home / Away
Gordon
Staal
Home
55.6% (595)
53.9% (825)
Away
58.1% (582)
51.1% (856)
By Period
Gordon
Staal
P1
57.5%
54.8%
P2
59.8%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
48.6%
OT
36.4%
60.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:24 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:12 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 07:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 02:18 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |