Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 46.2%). Look for Schenn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Staal 46.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 71.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 50.3%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Schenn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Schenn
Staal
Last 6: Schenn 5-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
4
0
Schenn
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
49.6% (565)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
35.0% (20)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
35.4% (158)
+10.7%
On power play, Schenn has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Home / Away
Schenn
Staal
Home
46.8% (494)
46.1% (380)
Away
46.3% (520)
46.3% (363)
By Period
Schenn
Staal
P1
50.3%
45.7%
P2
47.0%
46.2%
P3
42.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.6%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 11:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |