Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Staal 49.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 78.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 57.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Howden
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Howden
Staal
Last 5: Howden 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
0
Howden
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
2
1
Howden
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
49.6% (779)
-2.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
49.7% (179)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
48.8% (41)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Howden has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Home / Away
Howden
Staal
Home
44.8% (268)
52.0% (542)
Away
51.8% (253)
46.6% (457)
By Period
Howden
Staal
P1
51.6%
44.2%
P2
43.7%
50.3%
P3
50.0%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
68.8%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 10:16 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:13 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 18:43 | Offensive | Brett Howden |