Scouting Report
Chris Thorburn holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thorburn on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Staal 48.1% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Defensive zone
Thorburn 73.6%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 51.1%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Thorburn
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Thorburn
Staal
Last 8: Thorburn 5-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thorburn
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
3
1
Thorburn
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
47.4% (1,219)
+5.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.8% (356)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
47.5% (141)
-5.2%
On power play, Staal has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Staal
Home
52.1% (119)
49.8% (880)
Away
47.7% (132)
46.2% (871)
By Period
Thorburn
Staal
P1
45.3%
46.4%
P2
53.8%
46.1%
P3
51.3%
50.7%
OT
20.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 9, 2011 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |