Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Desharnais on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Desharnais 50.0% vs Staal 51.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Desharnais 55.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Desharnais
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Desharnais
Staal
Last 9: Desharnais 6-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Desharnais
4
1
Desharnais
Staal
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Desharnais
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Desharnais
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (595)
52.4% (804)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.8% (154)
53.5% (157)
+4.3%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
41.5% (53)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Desharnais is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Desharnais shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
Desharnais
Staal
Home
49.0% (402)
52.7% (490)
Away
51.1% (362)
51.3% (524)
By Period
Desharnais
Staal
P1
56.5%
56.4%
P2
47.5%
52.4%
P3
45.8%
47.4%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Desharnais
56.0%▲
54.5%
50.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | David Desharnais |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | David Desharnais |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | David Desharnais |