Scouting Report
Drew Stafford holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stafford on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Stafford wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stafford 52.5% vs Staal 52.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.1%
Defensive zone
Stafford 66.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.5%
Result
Drew Stafford favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stafford
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Stafford
Staal
Last 6: Stafford 3-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Stafford
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stafford
2
1
Stafford
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Stafford
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stafford
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (155)
52.0% (1,126)
+4.8%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
56.5% (239)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (21)
50.8% (65)
-12.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Stafford is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (123).
Stafford shoots right. Staal is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Stafford
Staal
Home
58.4% (89)
56.7% (727)
Away
50.0% (108)
48.6% (703)
By Period
Stafford
Staal
P1
65.5%
50.9%
P2
47.9%
54.7%
P3
49.3%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
60.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stafford
40.0%▼
47.0%
53.8%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 13, 2014 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:16 | Defensive | Drew Stafford |
| Feb 25, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Drew Stafford |