Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 38 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Nielsen 48.5% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 74-58 in 132 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 73.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 58.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
58
-
74
(132 meetings)
58
74
Staal
Nielsen
Last 10: Staal 1-9 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
21
13
Staal
Nielsen
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
11
27
Staal
Nielsen
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
26
34
Staal
Nielsen
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
49.3% (7,608)
+1.2%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.7% (594)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
41.7% (1,420)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
52.6% (6,558)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
50.0%
49.7%
P2
51.1%
47.6%
P3
50.4%
48.2%
OT
55.2%
46.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 11:30 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 1 | 07:53 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 3 | 01:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 2 | 01:33 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 4, 2018 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 2 | 03:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:39 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 26, 2017 | 1 | 05:52 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |