Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.8% vs Nielsen 48.3% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 59.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 79.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 60.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 63.3%
36.7%
63.3%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Staal
Nielsen
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Nielsen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
5
Staal
Nielsen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
7
Staal
Nielsen
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (804)
50.0% (392)
+2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (157)
65.0% (20)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (53)
40.4% (146)
+1.1%
On power play, Nielsen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
52.7% (490)
48.9% (274)
Away
51.3% (524)
47.2% (284)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
56.4%
47.9%
P2
52.4%
49.7%
P3
47.4%
46.3%
OT
42.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.0%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:13 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:20 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:04 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 13:05 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |