Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Nielsen 48.3% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 58.0%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 84.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 60.1%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Staal
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Staal
Nielsen
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Nielsen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
5
Staal
Nielsen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
1
6
Staal
Nielsen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (514)
49.5% (841)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.2% (147)
54.1% (37)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
40.7% (172)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Staal shoots left. Nielsen is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Home / Away
Staal
Nielsen
Home
57.8% (277)
51.2% (510)
Away
46.7% (392)
45.4% (540)
By Period
Staal
Nielsen
P1
50.0%
48.6%
P2
51.2%
47.4%
P3
53.4%
48.9%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:25 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 14:20 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 1 | 15:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 10, 2014 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |