Scouting Report
Frederik Gauthier holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Gauthier 53.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 84.3%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 76.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.9%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Staal
Gauthier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Gauthier
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Gauthier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Gauthier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
0
3
Staal
Gauthier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Gauthier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gauthier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
58.2% (263)
-8.6%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
100.0% (1)
-50.3%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
46.6% (116)
+2.2%
On power play, Gauthier has a +50.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gauthier shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Staal shoots left. Gauthier is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (212).
Home / Away
Staal
Gauthier
Home
52.0% (542)
60.0% (180)
Away
46.6% (457)
50.0% (200)
By Period
Staal
Gauthier
P1
44.2%
52.2%
P2
50.3%
57.5%
P3
52.9%
53.0%
OT
68.8%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 04:59 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Frederik Gauthier |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |