Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.3%). Look for Arnott on neutral-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Arnott 50.3% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 14-13 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 59.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Staal
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
14
(27 meetings)
13
14
Staal
Arnott
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Arnott
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Staal
Arnott
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
5
6
Staal
Arnott
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
49.7% (1,444)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
53.8% (182)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
40.0% (15)
+4.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Staal
Arnott
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.1% (891)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Staal
Arnott
P1
50.0%
46.1%
P2
51.1%
53.6%
P3
50.4%
50.1%
OT
55.2%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 01:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 12:06 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 2 | 06:43 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 17:55 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 19, 2011 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 12:35 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 16:23 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |