Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (66% H2H, 44 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Spezza 54.7% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 76-45 in 121 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Staal
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
45
-
76
(121 meetings)
45
76
Staal
Spezza
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
15
29
Staal
Spezza
44 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
16
21
Staal
Spezza
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
14
26
Staal
Spezza
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
54.4% (7,990)
-3.9%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.8% (1,726)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
52.7% (643)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Staal
Spezza
Home
52.6% (6,558)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Staal
Spezza
P1
50.0%
55.7%
P2
51.1%
54.4%
P3
50.4%
54.1%
OT
55.2%
51.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 3 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:06 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 05:09 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |