Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Spezza 55.8% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Staal
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
17
(23 meetings)
6
17
Staal
Spezza
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
8
Staal
Spezza
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Spezza
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
7
Staal
Spezza
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
56.1% (795)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
56.9% (211)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
56.3% (190)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Staal shoots left. Spezza is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Staal
Spezza
Home
49.8% (880)
56.6% (532)
Away
46.2% (871)
56.0% (678)
By Period
Staal
Spezza
P1
46.4%
58.8%
P2
46.1%
59.6%
P3
50.7%
50.4%
OT
53.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
45.1%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 09:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 3 | 06:56 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 04:02 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 11:25 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |