Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.7% vs Spezza 54.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Staal
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Spezza
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Staal
Spezza
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (713)
53.2% (763)
-0.5%
Power Play
57.1% (105)
60.9% (197)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
57.1% (21)
-15.4%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Staal is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Staal shoots left. Spezza is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Home / Away
Staal
Spezza
Home
56.0% (414)
57.5% (518)
Away
50.0% (428)
51.8% (463)
By Period
Staal
Spezza
P1
49.0%
55.4%
P2
56.3%
54.1%
P3
53.9%
55.5%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.6%
59.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
53.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |