Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Spezza on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Spezza 57.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Spezza leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 80.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Staal
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Staal
Spezza
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Spezza
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
4
Staal
Spezza
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
4
Staal
Spezza
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
58.0% (697)
-7.4%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
60.0% (105)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
60.0% (5)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Staal is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (410).
Staal shoots left. Spezza is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Home / Away
Staal
Spezza
Home
52.4% (647)
58.2% (376)
Away
49.7% (610)
58.2% (431)
By Period
Staal
Spezza
P1
49.4%
63.3%
P2
53.9%
54.9%
P3
49.1%
57.4%
OT
81.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 18:32 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:16 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:42 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |