Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Carter 53.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 67-50 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 68.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Staal
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
67
(117 meetings)
50
67
Staal
Carter
Last 10: Staal 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
17
19
Staal
Carter
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
16
25
Staal
Carter
41 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
17
23
Staal
Carter
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.3% (8,728)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
57.3% (1,554)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
46.3% (1,087)
-2.1%
On power play, Carter has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Staal
Carter
Home
52.6% (6,558)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Staal
Carter
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
51.1%
52.8%
P3
50.4%
53.1%
OT
55.2%
56.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 18:12 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 15, 2019 | 2 | 00:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |