Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Carter 54.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 56.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 55.1%
Neutral zone
Carter 57.7%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Staal
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
Carter
Last 9: Staal 5-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Staal
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
3
Staal
Carter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
53.1% (307)
-2.1%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
62.5% (64)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
70.4% (27)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Staal is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (443).
Staal shoots left. Carter is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Staal
Carter
Home
53.5% (561)
58.9% (285)
Away
48.9% (554)
47.8% (113)
By Period
Staal
Carter
P1
50.1%
54.9%
P2
50.3%
57.5%
P3
53.1%
56.0%
OT
53.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:07 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:16 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 07:08 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |