Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Carter 51.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 59.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Staal
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Staal
Carter
Last 6: Staal 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
4
Staal
Carter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
52.2% (552)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
56.4% (94)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
41.0% (100)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Carter is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Staal
Carter
Home
52.0% (542)
51.2% (324)
Away
46.6% (457)
51.2% (422)
By Period
Staal
Carter
P1
44.2%
49.8%
P2
50.3%
52.8%
P3
52.9%
51.2%
OT
68.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2019 | 3 | 17:59 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 12, 2019 | 1 | 16:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 16:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 10:35 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |