Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Vitale shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.5% vs Vitale 59.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 63.0%
Defensive zone
Vitale 90.6%
Neutral zone
Vitale 63.1%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Staal
Vitale
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
Vitale
Last 6: Staal 4-2 Vitale
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Vitale
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
0
2
Staal
Vitale
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Vitale
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,126)
61.7% (274)
-9.7%
Power Play
56.5% (239)
75.0% (4)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (65)
66.7% (42)
-15.9%
On power play, Vitale has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vitale shoots right. Staal is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Staal shoots left. Vitale is 63.8% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Staal
Vitale
Home
56.7% (727)
69.7% (152)
Away
48.6% (703)
56.0% (168)
By Period
Staal
Vitale
P1
50.9%
55.9%
P2
54.7%
65.2%
P3
51.9%
66.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
68.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 8, 2013 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |